Sunday, October 16, 2011

All I want for Christmas is a primary?

The republican primary/caucus calendar has been turned upside down. It started with the announcement by Florida that it was moving its primary up to January 31. That violates the Republican National Committee rules that allow New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa and Nevada to be the first four states to hold their primary/caucus. Violation of the rules could result in the loss of delegates at the national convention. Nevada faces a similar situation, it recently announced the date of its caucus, January 14, and has been threatened with the loss of half of their delegates. With Florida’s jump into January, the early voting states are all going to do the same thing to preserve their early voting status. South Carolina moved ahead of Florida and is holding their primary on January 21. Iowa is now looking at January 3 to hold their first in the nation caucus, which leaves New Hampshire deciding if they are going to hold their first in the nation primary in December of this year. New Hampshire state law requires that their primary be held seven days before any other contest; that could mean that we could be “decking the halls” with primary contests instead of “boughs of holly.”
What does this mean for the primaries? Nothing really, other than possibly holding the nation’s first republican primary nearly a year before the general election. The only impact is from the reaction from the Presidential candidates. Jon Huntsman, former Governor of Utah and Obama’s Ambassador to China, has decided to boycott campaigning in Nevada as a protest to Nevada moving up its primary. Newt Gringrich, former Speaker of the House has also announced his intention to boycott. Also joining in the boycott are former Senator Rick Santorum and Representative Michelle Bachmann. These candidates are in support of preserving New Hampshire’s supremacy as being first in the nation, even though New Hampshire doesn’t feel that the Iowa caucus doesn’t affect their primary, but Nevada’s does. Mitt Romney and Rick Perry are expected to join in. Rep. Ron Paul is the only candidate to come out against the boycott and Herman Cain has not responded one way or the other. My question is this, if six presidential candidates are supporting the boycott of Nevada, is the stage for the debate this Tuesday in Nevada only going to be occupied by Ron Paul?

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